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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.12vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+6.65vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.66+5.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.28-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.00vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University1.54-0.63vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59+1.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.43+2.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.50vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.99-8.24vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.43-2.36vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.81+0.32vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.97-11.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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8.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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5.73California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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7.37San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
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10.0Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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3.76Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
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10.64Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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14.32California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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3.63University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 17.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Brock Paquin | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Bastien Rasse | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Blake Buckner | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 1.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 35.4% | 15.7% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 17.7% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 13.3% | 73.9% |
| Joseph Hou | 22.1% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.