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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+2.51vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+8.31vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.97+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-0.75vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.77vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.43+4.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.66-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.45-3.35vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.59-1.67vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University1.54-5.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.30-6.00vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
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10.31Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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3.51University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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8.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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5.81California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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7.65University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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10.33Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.53San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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14.27California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 22.9% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 3.3% |
| Joseph Hou | 21.8% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 15.1% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Brock Paquin | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 36.6% | 16.4% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Will Cornell | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 12.7% | 2.1% |
| Blake Buckner | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 12.4% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.