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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.97+0.55vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-0.74vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.54+1.40vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.48vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.66-0.05vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.43-0.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.45-4.22vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.59-2.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.43-1.60vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
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5.12University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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5.82California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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7.4San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
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8.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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10.49Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.78University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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10.22Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.23California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 22.6% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 21.2% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Will Cornell | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 2.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 36.8% | 15.1% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 11.2% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.