← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.97+1.53vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego1.45+4.52vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.84vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.28+0.34vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.99-2.46vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.99vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University1.54-0.64vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-0.43+3.45vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.66-0.10vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.49vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.05vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University0.59-2.76vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University0.43-3.59vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
-
3.53University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
-
7.52University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
-
5.84California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
-
5.34University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
3.54Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
-
7.99University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
-
7.36San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
-
12.45University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
-
8.51University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
10.24Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
10.41Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
-
14.27California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 15.9% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 20.5% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 20.3% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Blake Buckner | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 15.9% | 36.6% | 14.1% |
| Will Cornell | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 2.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 3.1% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.