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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.16vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+2.18vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+2.65vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.97-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.66+1.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.43+3.43vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-4.07vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University1.54-3.59vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.59-1.76vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.43-2.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-5.60vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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3.49Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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7.65University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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3.6University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.93California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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7.41San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
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10.24Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.63Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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14.26California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 15.8% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 21.4% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 19.7% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Will Cornell | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 34.9% | 14.7% |
| Brock Paquin | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 2.9% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 10.1% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.