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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+2.46vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46-0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.35+0.37vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.10+4.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.50+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.55vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.00+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.72+1.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.24-0.48vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-3.27vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.29-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-1.00vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.45vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.75-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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1.94Stanford University3.460.5%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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3.95California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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8.83Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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9.87San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.55California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.82Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 14.9% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 47.2% | 27.8% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 15.4% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.8% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Noah Barton | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Max Case | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 24.4% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 36.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.