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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+0.42vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.08vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.29+4.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.59vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.10+2.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.50-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+2.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.72+0.91vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.00-2.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.24-2.29vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-5.14vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.42vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.75-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Stanford University3.460.5%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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3.92California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.66San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.82Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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12.58California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.83Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 46.5% | 26.8% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 15.3% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 15.5% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.5% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Noah Barton | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 21.3% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Max Case | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 38.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.