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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.73vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+3.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.30vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+4.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.85+0.03vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.00vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.45-1.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-0.27vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.49+0.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-3.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.26vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.43vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.41-3.55vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.52-3.03vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-2.43vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.67-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Yale University2.7121.9%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.1711.2%1st Place
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5.3Boston College2.0913.0%1st Place
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6.87Brown University1.697.9%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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7.03Brown University1.857.3%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University1.184.0%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College1.456.2%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University0.933.9%1st Place
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11.46Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.154.5%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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11.45McGill University0.412.2%1st Place
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12.97Connecticut College0.522.1%1st Place
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14.57Boston University-0.481.1%1st Place
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15.3Bates College-0.670.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.9% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Genevieve Lau | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.9% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 20.9% | 27.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.