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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+2.47vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46-0.08vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.35-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+6.82vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-2.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.50vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.29+1.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.24+0.53vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.00-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.50-3.47vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.45+0.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.72-1.97vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-0.10-4.92vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.75-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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1.92Stanford University3.460.5%1st Place
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7.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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3.43University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
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11.82University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.93California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.71San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.92Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
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7.53University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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12.73California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.78Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 15.5% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 47.9% | 26.9% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Patton | 14.9% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 25.2% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.8% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 37.5% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.