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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+0.47vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.00+4.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50+2.47vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-2.08vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.29+2.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+3.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.72+1.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.24-1.49vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.75-0.94vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.10-3.70vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-6.31vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.45-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Stanford University3.460.5%1st Place
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3.36University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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8.8Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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3.92California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.6San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.06Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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12.45California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 48.1% | 24.5% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 15.3% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 15.2% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Noah Barton | 2.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.3% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 24.7% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 10.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.6% |
| Edward Ansart | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Max Case | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.