← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+2.47vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.35+1.40vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.46-1.08vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California-0.10+4.10vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+5.81vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.54vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.00+0.87vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.50-1.56vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.72+0.87vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-0.29-1.27vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-4.16vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.24-3.25vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-0.75-3.16vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-1.45-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
-
3.4University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
-
1.92Stanford University3.460.5%1st Place
-
3.93California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
9.1University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
-
11.81University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
-
8.54University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
8.87Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
-
10.87University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.73San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
9.75University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
10.84Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.49California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 16.1% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 14.2% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 46.8% | 27.3% | 16.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.9% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 22.7% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Noah Barton | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.6% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Max Case | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 10.6% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.