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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.94+1.86vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+0.02vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.05-0.26vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.77+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.07+1.82vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57+2.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.93+1.98vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.01-1.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+0.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.71-4.95vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.38-3.13vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.77-1.29vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.64-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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3.02Stanford University2.410.3%1st Place
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3.74California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.2%1st Place
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5.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.1%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Los Angeles0.770.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at San Diego-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.15Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.79San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.02University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Southern California-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.71Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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13.91California State University Channel Islands-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 14.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 15.5% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 25.5% | 21.9% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 18.1% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 4.4% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 6.8% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eleanor Desai | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 30.5% | 22.3% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 16.9% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.