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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+3.19vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+1.65vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+0.06vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43+1.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.57+5.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.77+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.94-3.04vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.01+0.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.07-0.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.93+1.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+0.05vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.38-2.15vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.77-0.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.71-7.14vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.64-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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3.65California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.2%1st Place
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3.06Stanford University2.410.2%1st Place
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5.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.1%1st Place
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10.15Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Los Angeles0.770.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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8.74San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.91University of California at San Diego-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Southern California-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.82Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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13.87California State University Channel Islands-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 17.3% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 24.8% | 22.5% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Drew Wolf | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 16.0% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Vivin Vinil | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 5.3% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 7.3% |
| Eleanor Desai | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 32.8% | 23.7% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 17.9% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.