← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University-0.57+8.98vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+1.63vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43+2.07vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+0.26vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.41-1.87vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University-0.01+2.79vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.77-0.26vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+2.99vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.94-5.08vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.07-1.05vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.93-0.01vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California-0.38-2.06vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-1.77-0.20vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-2.64-0.01vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.71-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.98Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
3.63California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.2%1st Place
-
5.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
-
3.13Stanford University2.410.3%1st Place
-
8.79San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
6.74University of California at Los Angeles0.770.1%1st Place
-
10.99University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
-
3.92University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
-
8.95University of California at San Diego-0.070.0%1st Place
-
10.99University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
-
9.94University of Southern California-0.380.0%1st Place
-
12.8Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
-
13.99California State University Channel Islands-2.640.0%1st Place
-
6.84University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Collins | 18.5% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 25.6% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Drew Wolf | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 4.4% |
| Owen Lahr | 14.9% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 5.3% |
| Eleanor Desai | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 32.7% | 23.2% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 17.6% | 61.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.