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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.57+9.08vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+1.68vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.94-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.77+0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.05vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43-2.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.20-0.76vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.01-1.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.93+0.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.38-3.10vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.77-1.29vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.64-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.08Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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3.68California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.2%1st Place
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3.04Stanford University2.410.3%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Los Angeles0.770.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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5.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.1%1st Place
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8.24University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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8.84San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Southern California-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.71Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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13.9California State University Channel Islands-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 16.9% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 25.7% | 21.5% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 16.2% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 7.2% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 4.8% |
| Eleanor Desai | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 29.6% | 22.0% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.