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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+3.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+1.02vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.57+7.15vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.940.00vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43+0.22vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.05-2.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.20+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.77-2.26vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.01-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.93+0.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.38-3.11vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.77-1.28vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.64-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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3.02Stanford University2.410.3%1st Place
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10.15Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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5.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.1%1st Place
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3.77California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.2%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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8.27University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Los Angeles0.770.0%1st Place
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8.85San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Southern California-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.72Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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13.9California State University Channel Islands-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 14.1% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 25.3% | 22.2% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Owen Lahr | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 15.4% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Drew Wolf | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 7.3% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 16.5% | 4.7% |
| Eleanor Desai | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 29.4% | 22.3% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 17.4% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.