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📊 Prediction Accuracy
51.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.46+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.63+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+3.91vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.12+1.17vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.61vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.43+8.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.25+0.90vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-0.82vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.43+5.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.06-4.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-0.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.14vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-0.54vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.90-2.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.60vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-5.51vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+0.04vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.43-4.39vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.79-1.16vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-4.33vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.96-5.49vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-9.09vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-2.32-6.24vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands-1.43-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of California at Santa Barbara3.460.5%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.630.1%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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7.17California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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7.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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16.61California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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9.18California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.0%1st Place
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16.61California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.34University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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12.85University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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13.86University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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15.46University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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14.64Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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18.6University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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20.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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16.61California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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20.84University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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18.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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18.51University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
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15.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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19.76University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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16.61California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin coburn | 48.1% | 24.5% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 8.8% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 1.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gaffney | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 32.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.