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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.45+5.94vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.42vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+5.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+0.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+0.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+3.84vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.15-0.37vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.85-3.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.35vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.43vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.67+2.33vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-2.59vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-5.39vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.41-4.41vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.52-3.80vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.48-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Yale University2.7121.2%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College1.455.5%1st Place
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5.42Boston College2.0912.7%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University2.1711.2%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.698.5%1st Place
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10.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.4%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island0.994.6%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University1.155.2%1st Place
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7.0Brown University1.857.6%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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15.33Bates College-0.670.4%1st Place
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11.41Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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11.59McGill University0.412.1%1st Place
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13.2Connecticut College0.521.2%1st Place
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14.3Boston University-0.481.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.2% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 40.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Genevieve Lau | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 11.7% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.