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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.46+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.63+2.51vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+3.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+3.11vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.90+7.59vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.43+8.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58+4.03vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-0.80vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.12-3.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.06-4.75vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.43+3.63vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-0.95vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.25-5.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-2.46vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-1.67vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.43-1.37vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.34vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.43-3.37vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.75-6.91vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.96-3.84vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-7.23vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-3.43vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-6.51vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-2.79-5.15vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-2.32-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of California at Santa Barbara3.460.5%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.630.1%1st Place
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7.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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14.59Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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16.63California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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13.03University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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9.2California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.0%1st Place
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7.18California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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16.63California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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13.05University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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15.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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16.63California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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18.66University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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16.63California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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14.09University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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18.16University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
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15.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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20.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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18.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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20.85University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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19.75University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin coburn | 48.0% | 24.7% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 8.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gaffney | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.4% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 23.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 32.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.