← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+3.89vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.12+5.16vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara3.46-1.01vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.76vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands-1.43+11.51vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.63-0.40vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.24vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+5.51vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.25+0.87vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.27vs Predicted
-
11California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-1.76vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands-1.43+4.51vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-5.33vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-1.43+2.51vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.18vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.75-2.14vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-4.07vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-0.90-3.35vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-10.00vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.26vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-5.99vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis-1.96-3.66vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-2.79-1.85vs Predicted
-
24California State University Channel Islands-1.43-7.49vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-6.55vs Predicted
-
26University of California at San Diego-2.32-6.43vs Predicted
-
27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
-
7.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
1.99University of California at Santa Barbara3.460.5%1st Place
-
4.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
-
16.51California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
-
5.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.630.1%1st Place
-
7.24University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
-
13.51University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
-
13.27University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
-
9.24California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.0%1st Place
-
16.51California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
-
7.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
16.51California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
-
16.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
-
13.86University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.93University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
-
14.65Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
9.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
-
18.74University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
-
15.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
-
18.34University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
-
21.15University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
-
16.51California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
-
18.45University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
-
19.57University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
-
20.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alexander | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin coburn | 45.9% | 29.0% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gaffney | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 32.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.