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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+4.24vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+4.18vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.52+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-3.11+15.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-1.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+2.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+5.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.20vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.17+7.88vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.17+6.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.20-3.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.07+0.65vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-6.29vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-5.62vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15-1.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-6.43vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.42-3.00vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.48-0.01vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.96-3.13vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.04-3.67vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.13-4.08vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-5.55vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-8.21vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.17-7.12vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands-2.17-8.12vs Predicted
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27Arizona State University-3.23-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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6.18California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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4.63California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.520.2%1st Place
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20.8University of California at Berkeley-3.110.0%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.2%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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17.88California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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17.88California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at San Diego0.200.1%1st Place
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13.65University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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9.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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15.0University of California at Davis-1.420.0%1st Place
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18.99University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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16.87University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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17.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.040.0%1st Place
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17.92University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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17.45University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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15.79University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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17.88California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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17.88California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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21.23Arizona State University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 14.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Schimmel | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cornet | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 29.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katelon Egan | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamille Romero | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Carrion | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Sutton | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.