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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+2.65vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.20+4.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.52-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.04+8.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.48+8.98vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.17+7.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-3.11+8.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15+1.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.45vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-1.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-5.53vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.17+1.00vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.96-0.95vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.42-3.87vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-10.71vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-5.30vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.13-4.05vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-2.17-5.00vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.04-6.58vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.17-7.00vs Predicted
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26Arizona State University-3.23-5.01vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-19.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.2%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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6.11California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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8.81University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.520.2%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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17.3University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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18.98University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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18.0California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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20.77University of California at Berkeley-3.110.0%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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13.55University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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18.0California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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17.05University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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15.13University of California at Davis-1.420.0%1st Place
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9.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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15.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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17.95University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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18.0California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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17.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.040.0%1st Place
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18.0California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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20.99Arizona State University-3.230.0%1st Place
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7.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 15.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 12.2% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Schimmel | 15.6% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katelon Egan | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cornet | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 19.3% | 30.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamille Romero | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Carrion | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Sutton | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 34.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.