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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+4.31vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+2.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+6.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.80vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.52-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.20+1.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-3.11+11.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.07+3.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.42+4.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+1.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15+1.19vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-2.17+3.88vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-5.38vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-0.09vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.17+0.88vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-7.59vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-1.57vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.04-2.80vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.17-3.12vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.13-4.41vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-3.23-1.65vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.48-5.03vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.17-7.12vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.96-8.94vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-19.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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4.61California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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5.96California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.520.2%1st Place
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8.61University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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20.77University of California at Berkeley-3.110.0%1st Place
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13.61University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at Davis-1.420.0%1st Place
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13.26University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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14.19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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17.88California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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9.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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15.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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17.88California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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17.43University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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17.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.040.0%1st Place
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17.88California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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17.59University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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21.35Arizona State University-3.230.0%1st Place
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18.97University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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17.88California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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17.06University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.5% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katelon Egan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Schimmel | 16.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cornet | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 18.6% | 29.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamille Romero | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Carrion | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Sutton | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 36.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.