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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.70+7.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.25+1.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.54+5.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+4.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+0.87vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.79+1.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+0.21vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.36-2.04vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62-0.16vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.240.00vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13-0.25vs Predicted
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13Tufts University-0.25-0.93vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.20-2.01vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.17-3.11vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.53-3.19vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island-0.23-5.00vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.65-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Dartmouth College0.705.2%1st Place
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3.33Yale University2.2525.2%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University0.544.9%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.686.2%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.5511.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University0.796.0%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.008.0%1st Place
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5.96Boston College1.369.7%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University0.624.5%1st Place
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10.01Boston University0.373.6%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont0.242.6%1st Place
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11.75Connecticut College-0.132.5%1st Place
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12.07Tufts University-0.251.9%1st Place
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11.99Harvard University-0.201.8%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University-0.171.8%1st Place
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12.81McGill University-0.531.8%1st Place
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12.0University of Rhode Island-0.231.7%1st Place
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12.97Bates College-0.651.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Hurwitz | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 25.2% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Greta Traver | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 17.6% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.