Race 1A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Alley 42.7% 26.5% 15.0% 8.0% 4.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 4.6% 4.8% 6.5% 7.4% 8.5% 10.3% 13.7% 14.8% 15.1% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 16.1% 17.7% 19.6% 15.5% 13.5% 8.4% 5.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 4.6% 8.8% 9.8% 13.4% 11.2% 14.6% 13.4% 10.2% 8.6% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 13.0% 15.2% 15.8% 16.8% 14.4% 10.0% 7.3% 4.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 7.5% 8.9% 9.1% 12.2% 13.0% 12.7% 12.6% 11.6% 7.0% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.0% 4.3% 6.3% 7.1% 10.3% 11.7% 12.8% 15.1% 16.3% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.0% 3.0% 4.9% 5.0% 7.5% 8.7% 10.0% 11.0% 17.4% 30.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.1% 4.8% 6.4% 6.1% 9.1% 10.5% 12.0% 15.4% 16.0% 16.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.0% 3.0% 4.9% 5.0% 7.5% 8.7% 10.0% 11.0% 17.4% 30.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.1% 4.8% 6.4% 6.1% 9.1% 10.5% 12.0% 15.4% 16.0% 16.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 3.4% 6.0% 6.6% 8.5% 7.9% 11.2% 11.6% 15.0% 16.0% 13.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.