← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.54+0.65vs Predicted
-
2Catholic University of America-0.35+1.93vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.23+0.71vs Predicted
-
4Duke University0.15-0.83vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-0.11vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88+0.24vs Predicted
-
7University of Georgia-2.30-0.20vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University-1.48-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.65North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
-
3.93Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
-
3.71North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.17Duke University0.150.1%1st Place
-
4.89Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
-
6.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
-
6.8University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
-
5.61Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 58.1% | 25.0% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.1% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Will Finch | 10.0% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Ian Connolly | 13.9% | 23.5% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 12.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.4% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 15.0% | 5.9% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 27.9% | 27.7% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 21.9% | 49.6% |
| Paige Berta | 2.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 16.2% | 24.0% | 22.2% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.