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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.15+2.11vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54-0.34vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.23+0.77vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.48+1.70vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.35-1.09vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-2.30-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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1.66North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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3.77North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.7Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
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3.91Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.83Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
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6.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 15.7% | 24.5% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Usher | 56.7% | 27.0% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 9.5% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Paige Berta | 2.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 24.1% | 16.8% |
| Clare Wagner | 7.7% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 27.7% | 30.0% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.