← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Duke University0.15+2.12vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.54-0.33vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University-1.48+2.65vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.23-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Catholic University of America-0.35-1.08vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-1.16vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.70vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-2.30-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
-
1.67North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
-
5.65Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
-
3.77North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.92Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
-
4.84Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
-
6.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
-
6.74University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 15.1% | 25.9% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 56.6% | 26.9% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Berta | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 16.3% |
| Will Finch | 9.3% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Clare Wagner | 7.5% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.3% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 27.2% | 30.7% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 25.4% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.