Race 2A

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Soosalu 14.2% 14.5% 16.5% 16.8% 10.6% 11.0% 8.1% 5.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 40.3% 28.2% 16.7% 8.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 15.5% 18.9% 18.2% 16.6% 13.1% 8.0% 6.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 3.1% 4.8% 6.8% 7.9% 9.8% 11.8% 13.5% 15.1% 13.5% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 7.4% 8.4% 9.4% 10.4% 12.0% 15.9% 12.0% 10.3% 9.4% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 7.6% 7.9% 9.4% 11.2% 14.9% 12.3% 11.6% 11.6% 7.6% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0%
William McIvor 2.9% 3.8% 6.7% 7.9% 10.1% 12.1% 12.1% 14.7% 15.5% 14.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 8.3% 7.9% 9.9% 11.9% 17.7% 30.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 8.3% 7.9% 9.9% 11.9% 17.7% 30.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.8% 3.6% 6.0% 7.8% 9.4% 9.9% 10.8% 15.9% 17.2% 15.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.8% 3.6% 6.0% 7.8% 9.4% 9.9% 10.8% 15.9% 17.2% 15.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.1% 6.3% 6.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.3% 14.5% 13.1% 16.3% 14.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.