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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.70+7.40vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.25+1.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.79+5.05vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.53+8.85vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+3.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+1.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.55-1.29vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.17+4.13vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.54-0.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.62-1.18vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.36-5.15vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13-0.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.23-0.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University-0.25-1.90vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.65-2.08vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.20-4.14vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.37-7.22vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.24-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Dartmouth College0.705.8%1st Place
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3.48Yale University2.2523.8%1st Place
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8.05Brown University0.795.7%1st Place
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12.85McGill University-0.531.9%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.686.2%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.006.9%1st Place
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5.71Brown University1.5510.1%1st Place
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12.13Northeastern University-0.172.0%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University0.545.1%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University0.624.0%1st Place
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5.85Boston College1.3611.9%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College-0.132.5%1st Place
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12.2University of Rhode Island-0.231.3%1st Place
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12.1Tufts University-0.252.0%1st Place
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12.92Bates College-0.651.7%1st Place
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11.86Harvard University-0.201.8%1st Place
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9.78Boston University0.374.5%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont0.242.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Hurwitz | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 23.8% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 16.8% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Greta Traver | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.