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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.15+2.11vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54-0.35vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.35+0.91vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+0.92vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.23-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-2.30+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.72vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.48-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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1.65North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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3.91Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.92Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.79North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
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6.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.59Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 15.3% | 25.5% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 58.0% | 25.5% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.5% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 6.6% |
| Will Finch | 8.7% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 21.6% | 46.9% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 27.6% | 30.4% |
| Paige Berta | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 23.2% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.