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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.65vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.15+1.19vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.23+0.72vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.35-0.10vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-2.30+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.73vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.48-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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3.19Duke University0.150.1%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.9Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
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6.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.6Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 58.5% | 24.7% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 13.8% | 24.5% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Will Finch | 10.1% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.2% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.4% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 6.1% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 47.6% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 28.2% | 29.7% |
| Paige Berta | 1.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.