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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.15+2.13vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54-0.33vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.35+0.92vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.23-0.25vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.30-0.19vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.48-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Duke University0.150.1%1st Place
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1.67North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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3.92Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.75North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.87Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
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5.61Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 14.5% | 25.8% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 57.3% | 25.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.5% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Will Finch | 9.5% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 5.5% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 27.1% | 27.9% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 22.3% | 49.3% |
| Paige Berta | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 22.9% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.