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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.55vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-1.48+3.43vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.15-0.06vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.23-0.54vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.00vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-2.30-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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5.43Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
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2.94Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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3.46North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.57Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.54Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 62.2% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Berta | 2.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 13.7% |
| Ian Connolly | 15.3% | 28.0% | 24.8% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Will Finch | 9.5% | 20.3% | 25.4% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.9% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 25.7% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 15.9% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 23.2% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.