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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.15+1.91vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54-0.44vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-1.48+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88+2.05vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.23-1.49vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.30-0.41vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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1.56North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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5.36Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
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3.51North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.59Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
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5.45Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 16.3% | 28.1% | 25.5% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 61.4% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Berta | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 11.5% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 24.9% | 25.2% |
| Will Finch | 9.0% | 19.2% | 25.6% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Tan Tonge | 5.3% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 44.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.