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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.57vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.15+0.96vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.23+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88+2.01vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-2.30+0.52vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-1.48-1.55vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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2.96Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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3.46North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
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4.6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
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5.45Clemson University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.44Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 61.4% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 15.4% | 26.9% | 26.3% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Finch | 11.1% | 18.2% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 26.0% | 24.6% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.5% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 4.5% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 42.1% |
| Paige Berta | 3.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 14.3% |
| Benedict Gorman | 1.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.