← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.36+5.09vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+5.28vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.54+5.49vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.25-0.57vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.55+0.80vs Predicted
-
6Brown University0.79+1.98vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.24+4.05vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.62+0.73vs Predicted
-
9McGill University-0.53+3.88vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University-0.20+1.92vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.37-1.13vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island-0.23-0.12vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College0.70-4.48vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University-0.25-2.03vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-6.54vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College-0.13-4.26vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University-0.17-4.88vs Predicted
-
18Bates College-0.65-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.09Boston College1.369.2%1st Place
-
7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.007.0%1st Place
-
8.49Tufts University0.545.0%1st Place
-
3.43Yale University2.2523.5%1st Place
-
5.8Brown University1.5511.1%1st Place
-
7.98Brown University0.796.2%1st Place
-
11.05University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
-
8.73Roger Williams University0.625.3%1st Place
-
12.88McGill University-0.531.8%1st Place
-
11.92Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
-
9.87Boston University0.373.9%1st Place
-
11.88University of Rhode Island-0.232.3%1st Place
-
8.52Dartmouth College0.704.8%1st Place
-
11.97Tufts University-0.252.6%1st Place
-
8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.686.1%1st Place
-
11.74Connecticut College-0.132.2%1st Place
-
12.12Northeastern University-0.172.4%1st Place
-
12.81Bates College-0.651.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 23.5% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Greta Traver | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.