Race 3A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Soosalu 14.0% 15.1% 15.4% 16.1% 12.8% 11.4% 7.7% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 4.9% 4.9% 5.3% 7.9% 9.2% 12.2% 12.3% 14.3% 14.4% 14.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 14.6% 19.5% 17.4% 17.4% 12.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.3% 4.3% 6.5% 6.6% 11.5% 10.0% 12.9% 14.9% 15.8% 14.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 43.1% 26.3% 16.5% 7.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 9.0% 8.9% 11.0% 12.3% 13.9% 15.4% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.8% 2.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.8% 8.8% 10.9% 12.7% 19.2% 28.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 5.0% 9.2% 11.0% 10.6% 13.6% 13.9% 12.6% 11.8% 7.1% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.8% 2.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.8% 8.8% 10.9% 12.7% 19.2% 28.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 6.0% 8.2% 11.3% 11.3% 12.5% 12.2% 13.6% 11.8% 8.9% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.1% 4.4% 6.3% 8.6% 8.6% 9.5% 12.0% 13.5% 15.6% 18.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.1% 4.4% 6.3% 8.6% 8.6% 9.5% 12.0% 13.5% 15.6% 18.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.