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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+3.24vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.63+4.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+3.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.45+6.33vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.97+0.50vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+2.26vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.09+7.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-1.68vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-3.81vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.57+5.71vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.15+0.32vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.38vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.48-7.00vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.59vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.96-4.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.25-3.18vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.60-0.46vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.77-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.43George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.33University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Southern California2.970.1%1st Place
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8.26California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.1%1st Place
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14.66University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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15.71Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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5.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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7.0College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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11.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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13.82University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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17.54University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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17.61Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 18.4% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 1.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 3.3% |
| David Eastwood | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 23.0% | 23.1% | 7.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 13.5% | 28.2% | 40.4% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 25.6% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.