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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+4.38vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+2.29vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.63+3.48vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+1.31vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.48+2.06vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.15+4.29vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.96+4.05vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57-2.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-3.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.23vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.05-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego1.45-2.87vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.09+0.81vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.57+0.60vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-4.53vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.25-3.21vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.60-0.47vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.77-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Southern California2.970.1%1st Place
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4.29Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.48George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.06College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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5.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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12.05Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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8.57California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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10.13University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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15.6Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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13.79University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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17.53University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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17.62Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 18.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Anker | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 2.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 21.0% | 8.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 28.4% | 39.9% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 25.1% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.