← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.63+5.54vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.57+4.77vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.35vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.48+3.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.97+0.68vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.59vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.00-1.59vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii1.15+3.76vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy2.05-0.63vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University3.38-5.75vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.96+1.26vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.57vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University0.59+0.19vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.57+2.47vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.25-0.74vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-4.12vs Predicted
-
17University of Oregon-1.10+0.34vs Predicted
-
18University of Washington-0.09-2.66vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego1.45-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.77Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
6.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
-
7.03College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
-
5.68University of Southern California2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
5.41Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
11.76University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.37California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.1%1st Place
-
4.25Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
-
12.26Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
-
11.43University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
-
13.19Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
16.47Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
14.26University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
-
11.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
17.34University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
-
15.34University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.26University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Anker | 6.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Collins | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 26.3% | 27.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 6.8% |
| Kai Ponting | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 20.9% | 48.0% |
| Emily Smith | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 12.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.