Race 4A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Billy Hines 19.1% 17.6% 19.1% 14.2% 10.1% 10.9% 5.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 12.1% 14.9% 16.1% 15.7% 14.1% 11.2% 8.0% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 39.5% 28.2% 16.6% 8.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 5.9% 6.8% 11.3% 12.2% 11.8% 13.5% 14.2% 11.0% 8.9% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 6.0% 7.2% 6.5% 8.8% 12.7% 19.1% 29.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 7.6% 9.4% 10.7% 13.0% 14.2% 15.8% 13.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.0% 3.8% 5.6% 7.5% 10.4% 10.2% 13.3% 14.0% 16.2% 16.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.1% 5.2% 6.5% 9.7% 9.1% 10.1% 12.8% 15.6% 13.8% 14.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.0% 3.8% 5.6% 7.5% 10.4% 10.2% 13.3% 14.0% 16.2% 16.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William McIvor 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 7.9% 10.6% 11.3% 10.4% 15.5% 14.0% 16.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 6.0% 7.2% 6.5% 8.8% 12.7% 19.1% 29.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 5.6% 9.5% 10.4% 10.4% 12.7% 14.3% 13.4% 10.2% 8.8% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.