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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.70+7.69vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.36+3.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.25+0.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.24+5.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+2.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.79+0.95vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.53+5.11vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College-0.13+2.84vs Predicted
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10Tufts University-0.25+2.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-3.72vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.65+0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.23-1.01vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.62-5.28vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.54-6.53vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-6.15vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-5.30vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.17-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Dartmouth College0.704.7%1st Place
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5.95Boston College1.369.3%1st Place
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3.35Yale University2.2524.9%1st Place
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5.65Brown University1.5510.8%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont0.243.0%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.8%1st Place
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7.95Brown University0.796.7%1st Place
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13.11McGill University-0.531.6%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College-0.132.5%1st Place
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12.38Tufts University-0.252.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.006.8%1st Place
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12.82Bates College-0.651.2%1st Place
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11.99University of Rhode Island-0.232.2%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University0.625.4%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University0.545.6%1st Place
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9.85Boston University0.373.6%1st Place
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11.7Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
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12.05Northeastern University-0.172.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 24.9% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 17.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% |
| Greta Traver | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.3% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.