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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+5.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.37vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.97+1.48vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.57vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+5.81vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.63-0.50vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.48-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45+1.42vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.00-4.73vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.13vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.05-3.21vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.09+2.09vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.96-1.65vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.15-3.47vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.25-1.57vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University0.59-3.63vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.59vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University-0.57-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.31Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Southern California2.970.1%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.22College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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10.42University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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5.27Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.13University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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8.79California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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15.09University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.35Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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13.37Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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17.41University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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16.26Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 18.3% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Anker | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Collins | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 11.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael McCulloch | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 6.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 49.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 23.8% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.