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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+3.20vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+3.28vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+3.63vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.30vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.48+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45+3.26vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+0.42vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.32vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.97-4.84vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.57+4.80vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.15-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.09+1.53vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.39-6.82vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.33vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.25-2.19vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.71+0.66vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.96-6.19vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-1.60-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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10.26University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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8.42California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.1%1st Place
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11.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Southern California2.970.1%1st Place
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15.8Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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17.66Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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17.38University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 17.2% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Anker | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Hou | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 24.7% | 21.8% | 9.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Janov | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Calum Merry | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 25.0% | 47.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 30.8% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.