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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+4.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+2.01vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+3.44vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+2.34vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.53+1.95vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.23-1.14vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.15+1.45vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50-4.05vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-0.10+2.10vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.62vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.50-2.54vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.00-2.30vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-1.20-0.26vs Predicted
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17-2.48+0.74vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.39-0.31vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.55-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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6.44Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.34California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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5.64George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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5.86College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
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4.95Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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12.38University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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11.46University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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12.7Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
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15.74University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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17.74-2.480.0%1st Place
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17.69Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 8.1% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 19.3% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Edward Ansart | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Noah Barton | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 28.7% | 17.7% | 8.3% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 30.1% | 46.2% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 34.5% | 40.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.