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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+3.96vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.23+3.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+1.42vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74-0.13vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+0.82vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.53+0.82vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.77+2.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.36vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.41+1.45vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.15-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.10+0.75vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43-4.91vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.50-2.96vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-1.20+0.56vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-0.46-2.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.55-2.83vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.97-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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5.42Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.87George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.83California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Hawaii1.530.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Los Angeles0.770.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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12.45Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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16.56University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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15.17University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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17.63Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 17.4% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Will Glasson | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Sean Ross | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 30.8% | 22.3% |
| Emily Avey | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 8.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 8.9% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.