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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+5.01vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.74+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.77+8.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.15+5.99vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93-0.58vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.50-1.51vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43+1.26vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23-2.76vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.53-2.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.50+0.45vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-6.33vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.41-1.51vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California-0.10-1.19vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-1.20+0.52vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-0.46-2.19vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.97-0.14vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.55-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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4.89George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Los Angeles0.770.0%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.0%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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6.73California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Hawaii1.530.0%1st Place
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12.45University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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12.49Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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16.52University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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17.86Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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14.84University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 7.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Will Glasson | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 15.3% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Micky Munns | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Edward Ansart | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 3.3% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 29.6% | 22.3% |
| Emily Avey | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 7.6% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 18.5% | 58.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.