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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+3.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.95+6.79vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07+2.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+0.37vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.53+0.78vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.98vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23-3.49vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.15-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.50-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.46+1.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.33vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.00-2.29vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-1.20-0.02vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California-0.10-3.92vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.55-3.53vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-3.23-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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9.79Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.01Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.37George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.97California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.51College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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11.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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9.06Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.52University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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12.71Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
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15.98University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.47University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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18.5Arizona State University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 19.5% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 12.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Glasson | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 2.3% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 37.1% | 7.5% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 1.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 3.1% |
| Will Sutton | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 83.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.