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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+4.56vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+4.40vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.23+3.00vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07+2.35vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93-0.94vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.95+3.18vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.74-3.37vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.77+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.53-1.87vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43-2.46vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.41+0.18vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.15-3.67vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-0.10-0.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.50-3.47vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.55-1.56vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-1.20-1.17vs Predicted
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18-2.48-0.13vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.53-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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6.4California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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6.0College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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7.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.63George Washington University2.740.2%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Los Angeles0.770.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Hawaii1.530.0%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.0%1st Place
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12.18Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.53University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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15.83University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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17.87-2.480.0%1st Place
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17.76Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 17.1% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 15.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Will Glasson | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Noah Barton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 9.7% | 1.4% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 15.0% | 27.9% | 22.1% | 7.6% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 13.1% | 30.1% | 45.3% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 30.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.