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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.74vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.16+5.23vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.53+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00+6.02vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.74vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.98-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.15-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-2.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.07-0.34vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.13-1.40vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.87-4.81vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.06-3.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.93-1.54vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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7.23Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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7.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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5.04Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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10.66University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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10.6Western Washington University0.130.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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13.92University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 32.4% | 24.2% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Trey Summers | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 4.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 21.7% | 32.5% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.