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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Leonardo Burnham 27.8% 24.6% 18.6% 13.9% 8.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Jeremy Bullock 21.0% 21.4% 19.4% 15.4% 11.7% 6.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Lucas Wiatrowski 4.3% 5.1% 7.0% 10.3% 12.1% 15.9% 19.4% 17.9% 8.0%
Owen Peterson 6.5% 6.8% 9.3% 11.0% 13.4% 15.0% 17.0% 14.0% 7.1%
Matteo Asscher 13.1% 14.3% 13.4% 16.7% 15.7% 13.2% 9.1% 3.9% 0.9%
Theresa Straw 17.1% 17.4% 17.2% 16.6% 14.8% 9.8% 4.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Wilfred Hynes 4.4% 4.0% 6.2% 5.5% 7.6% 13.5% 16.7% 24.8% 17.2%
Ryan Treat 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 7.6% 11.9% 15.1% 18.9% 19.7% 11.1%
Will Sugerman 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 3.0% 4.4% 7.0% 8.9% 15.8% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.