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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.62+7.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.70+6.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+4.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+1.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.25-1.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+2.44vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36-1.09vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.20+3.84vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.01+2.50vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island-0.23+2.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.54-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-1.07vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.65-0.06vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-2.19vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.79-7.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-6.02vs Predicted
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17Tufts University-0.25-4.80vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.53-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Roger Williams University0.624.7%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College0.704.7%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.007.2%1st Place
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5.75Brown University1.5510.8%1st Place
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3.41Yale University2.2525.5%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.9%1st Place
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5.91Boston College1.3610.2%1st Place
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11.84Harvard University-0.202.3%1st Place
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11.5Northeastern University0.011.9%1st Place
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12.06University of Rhode Island-0.232.3%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University0.545.7%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont0.242.6%1st Place
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12.94Bates College-0.651.4%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College-0.132.2%1st Place
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7.9Brown University0.796.6%1st Place
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9.98Boston University0.373.9%1st Place
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12.2Tufts University-0.251.7%1st Place
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13.22McGill University-0.531.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 25.5% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 17.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Greta Traver | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.