Race 5A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Alley 43.3% 25.7% 14.5% 8.8% 4.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 12.1% 15.6% 16.2% 15.5% 14.0% 11.2% 7.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 6.3% 7.7% 9.3% 11.8% 11.7% 14.0% 14.3% 11.7% 8.0% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 2.5% 5.1% 7.1% 9.1% 10.4% 11.3% 12.4% 13.5% 14.0% 14.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 4.4% 5.3% 7.6% 6.6% 9.3% 11.0% 11.8% 16.8% 13.4% 13.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 7.1% 8.4% 11.0% 10.2% 13.7% 12.8% 12.7% 9.9% 9.8% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 2.9% 4.4% 4.9% 8.6% 8.7% 10.4% 11.8% 15.0% 18.1% 15.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.4% 4.7% 6.8% 7.6% 10.3% 10.1% 12.8% 12.9% 16.5% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.0% 3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 5.8% 9.5% 10.2% 12.0% 16.4% 30.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.0% 3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 5.8% 9.5% 10.2% 12.0% 16.4% 30.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 2.9% 4.4% 4.9% 8.6% 8.7% 10.4% 11.8% 15.0% 18.1% 15.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 16.0% 19.5% 18.2% 16.6% 12.1% 7.7% 5.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.